Company Coverage
PDD Holdings (PDD US): 2Q26: Mixed Results; Focus On Overseas Profitability
BUY (Upgraded)
Current price:
Target price:
Upside:
Previous TP :
US$88.38
US$115.00
+30.1%
US$94.00
Analyst
Highlights
PDD reported mixed 2Q26 results. Total revenue increased 8%, 2-4% below our and consensus estimates. Adjusted net profit declined 12% yoy to Rmb28b, supported by higher interest/investment income of Rmb13.5b, largely in line with our expectation. Gross margin expanded 1.4ppt yoy to 57.3%. Non-GAAP net margin dropped 6ppt yoy to 25.4%, due to higher G&A expenses.
Upgrade to BUY with a higher target price of US$115.00.

Analysis
Online marketing revenue grew 3.5% yoy (vs 2.4% in 1Q26), better than street expectations. This implied a better-than-expected domestic GMV growth despite tighter VAT regulations, e-commerce competition and weak consumption (compared with Taobao-Tmall’s +1% yoy and JD retail’s -4.7% yoy). Transaction services revenue grew 13% yoy, below our forecast of 17% yoy and slowing from 20% yoy in 1Q26, due to softer Temu monetisation amid regulatory changes in the EU and ASEAN, partly offset by resilient Duo Duo Grocery and recovering US operations.
Operating profit better than expectations. Gross margin expanded 1.4ppt yoy to 57.3%, due to slower growth of Temu with high fulfilment cost. Non GAAP operating profit increased 5% yoy, vs 16%/5% yoy in 1Q26/4Q25, while operating margin dipped 1ppt yoy to 26%, mainly related to the new Xiongan subsidiary launched in May 26 with 4,000 employees, equivalent to 16% of PDD Holdings’ (PDD) 2025 workforce. Non-GAAP net profit declined 12% yoy, supported by higher interest/investment income of Rmb13.5b, versus a Rmb0.6b loss in 1Q26, but partly offset by Rmb7.4b in other losses, potentially related to one-off provisions related to domestic/EU regulatory penalties and subsidiary tax payments.

Highlights
PDD reported mixed 2Q26 results. Total revenue increased 8%, 2-4% below our and consensus estimates. Adjusted net profit declined 12% yoy to Rmb28b, supported by higher interest/investment income of Rmb13.5b, largely in line with our expectation. Gross margin expanded 1.4ppt yoy to 57.3%. Non-GAAP net margin dropped 6ppt yoy to 25.4%, due to higher G&A expenses.
Upgrade to BUY with a higher target price of US$115.00.

Analysis
Online marketing revenue grew 3.5% yoy (vs 2.4% in 1Q26), better than street expectations. This implied a better-than-expected domestic GMV growth despite tighter VAT regulations, e-commerce competition and weak consumption (compared with Taobao-Tmall’s +1% yoy and JD retail’s -4.7% yoy). Transaction services revenue grew 13% yoy, below our forecast of 17% yoy and slowing from 20% yoy in 1Q26, due to softer Temu monetisation amid regulatory changes in the EU and ASEAN, partly offset by resilient Duo Duo Grocery and recovering US operations.
Operating profit better than expectations. Gross margin expanded 1.4ppt yoy to 57.3%, due to slower growth of Temu with high fulfilment cost. Non GAAP operating profit increased 5% yoy, vs 16%/5% yoy in 1Q26/4Q25, while operating margin dipped 1ppt yoy to 26%, mainly related to the new Xiongan subsidiary launched in May 26 with 4,000 employees, equivalent to 16% of PDD Holdings’ (PDD) 2025 workforce. Non-GAAP net profit declined 12% yoy, supported by higher interest/investment income of Rmb13.5b, versus a Rmb0.6b loss in 1Q26, but partly offset by Rmb7.4b in other losses, potentially related to one-off provisions related to domestic/EU regulatory penalties and subsidiary tax payments.

BUY (Upgraded)
Current price:
Target price:
Upside:
Previous TP :
US$88.38
US$115.00
+30.1%
US$94.00
Analyst
IMPORTANT NOTICE - DISCLOSURES AND DISCLAIMERS
This report is provided subject to, and must be read together with, the full Disclosures / Disclaimers available at this link, which are incorporated by reference into this report. In particular, this report is intended for general circulation and informational purposes only and does not constitute personal investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any investment product or security. You should independently evaluate the information and, where necessary, seek advice from a qualified financial adviser regarding the suitability of any investment. Analyst certifications required under applicable regulations, including SEC Regulation AC (where relevant), are included in this report. By accessing, receiving or using this report, you acknowledge that you have read, understood and agreed to be bound by the Disclosures / Disclaimers, as may be amended, supplemented or updated from time to time.
Related articles

24 Aug 2026
KE Holdings Inc (2423 HK): 2Q26: Earnings Beat On Improved Operating Efficiency, But Outlook Weaker Than Expected

20 Aug 2026
Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK): 2Q26: Results Broadly In Line, But Outlook Weaker Than Expected

19 Aug 2026
Baidu Inc (9888 HK): 2Q26: Earnings Miss; AI Growth Accelerates, But Sustainability Remains To Be Proven
Our latest research

25 Aug 2026
Q Technology Group (1478 HK): 1H26: Margin Pressure And Elevated R&D Weigh On Earnings; Automotive Remains The Clearest Growth Driver

25 Aug 2026
Sinopharm Group (1099 HK): 1H26: Results In Line; Striving For Growth Amid Policy Headwinds

25 Aug 2026
